조건부 확률
Constellation of Bayes
Two overlapping circles share a single bright star — the joint event. Bayes' theorem is the gravity that pulls one circle through the other.
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)hwakryul.com
A celestial atlas of probability
scroll to wander the cosmos ↓
Each tile is a small chart of the sky. Hover a tile to feel its bloom; let its illustration steady you while the idea unfolds.
Constellation of Bayes
Two overlapping circles share a single bright star — the joint event. Bayes' theorem is the gravity that pulls one circle through the other.
P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)Coin in Orbit
A single trial with two outcomes — the heartbeat of probability. Each toss a small revolution.
The Bell of Stars
Symmetry, falling away from the mean, two thin tails sliding into the night. The bell rings softly across populations.
Law of Large Numbers
A wandering trace finds its way home — toward the expected value, slowly, surely.
Constellation Chalice
An urn holds every possible outcome. Reach in — every draw is a small fate, every fate a small star.
|Ω| = sum of all possibilitiesMemoryless Stars
Each state forgets the past. Tomorrow depends only on today — a sequence of small starlit decisions.
Rare-event Stars
Rare lights flicker over fixed intervals — meteor showers, customer arrivals, radioactive decay.
Stars Becoming Bell
However ragged the start, the average always rounds itself into the bell — the deepest law in the night.
Concentric Uncertainty
Information is the surprise we feel. Entropy is the average surprise — the radius around the bright center where every outcome is equally likely.
H(X) = -Σ p log pHover a star. Watch the threads of inheritance light up between theorems.