March 8, 2026 · 8 min read
Why Prediction Markets Still Underperform Expert Consensus
An analysis of information aggregation failures in thin-market conditions, and what calibration research tells us about fixing them. The gap between theoretical efficiency and observed accuracy reveals structural problems worth examining.
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Feb 22, 2026 · 5 min read
When inference cost matters more than benchmark scores, quantized 7B models outperform their larger siblings in production.
Evergreen
AI
Infrastructure
Feb 10, 2026 · 12 min read
Lessons from designing xity-sdk: schema decisions, rate limiting patterns, and why GraphQL was the wrong choice initially.
API Design
TypeScript
Jan 28, 2026 · 4 min read
Philip Tetlock's framework for calibrated prediction and what it means for everyday decision-making under uncertainty.
Evergreen
Books
Jan 15, 2026 · 6 min read
Partial indexes, materialized views, and BRIN indexes: the three tools that solve 90% of my query performance problems.
Databases
PostgreSQL
Jan 3, 2026 · 7 min read
A practical walkthrough of Raft consensus for application developers who need coordination but not a PhD in distributed systems.
Evergreen
Systems
Infrastructure
Dec 20, 2025 · 3 min read
The best technical writing starts with empathy: what does the reader already know, and what single idea will unlock the rest?
Writing
Dec 8, 2025 · 5 min read
Donella Meadows reveals how feedback loops, stocks, and flows govern everything from ecosystems to organizations. Essential mental models.
Evergreen
Books