確率

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probability / 確率

The Bell Curve Wall

Sprayed across the concrete in pastel gradients, a normal distribution emerges from the noise. Each standard deviation marked with a dripping tag — the mathematics of chance rendered in aerosol and intention.

P(x) = (1/σ√2π) · e-(x-μ)²/2σ²

Conditional Layers

Every layer on the wall is conditional on the layers beneath it. The stencil knows what the spray-paint laid down first. The wheat-paste knows the texture of the concrete underneath. Probability is not flat — it is deeply, irreducibly layered.

0.12
0.34
0.08
0.46
0.71
0.23
0.55
0.89
0.17

Bayesian Alleyway

Down the alley where prior beliefs meet new evidence. The walls update themselves — each new tag modifies the message of the last. Nothing is fixed. Everything is posterior to something else.

Stochastic Sky

Look up. The ceiling of the alley opens to reveal a sky governed entirely by randomness — stars placed by Monte Carlo simulation, constellations drawn by Markov chains, the moon positioned at a random phase. Every refresh generates a different cosmos.

P(return) → 1