bability.pro

What are the odds?

NORMAL DISTRIBUTION

The bell curve is the archetype of probability -- the shape that emerges whenever independent random variables accumulate. It appears in exam scores, star brightness, measurement errors, and the heights of humans. The universe defaults to normal.

P(x) = 0.000

DECISION TREE

Every choice is a branch in the probability tree. The path you walk collapses infinite possibilities into a single trajectory. But the branches you did not take still exist -- ghost limbs of the tree of possible worlds.

Branches: 0

MONTE CARLO

Throw enough random darts at a target and the pattern emerges. Monte Carlo simulation proves that chaos, given enough iterations, converges on truth. The individual point is random; the distribution is inevitable.

Points: 0

The Coin Flip

0.0%

The purest binary: heads or tails, yes or no, one or zero. The foundation of all probability.

Birthday Paradox

0.0%

In a group of just 23 people, there is a better-than-even chance that two share a birthday. Intuition fails here.

Monty Hall

0.0%

Always switch. The door you did not choose has a 2/3 chance of concealing the prize. Trust the math, not your gut.

Lightning Strike

0.0000%

One in 500,000 per year. Improbable for you; inevitable for someone. That is the paradox of large numbers.

The oracle reveals:

0.0%