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A tiny 16-bit observatory for seeing uncertainty before naming it. Dice constellations blink, priors hum, and every result arrives as a teachable pixel.
Two faces make the first room.
Before probability can measure an event, the observatory lays out the possible outcomes. Heads and tails are not guesses; they are the complete floor plan for this experiment.
Count the doors first. Then ask which door glows.
Every fork keeps its fraction.
A path can split, and each split carries a small label. Multiplying along a route turns wandering sprites into a precise route probability.
New evidence tilts the bands.
The prior starts as a warm expectation. A noisy signal passes through the teal scope. The posterior is the recalibrated belief after the instrument has listened.
Enough pixels become a pattern.
Single observations jitter like dust. Repeated samples gather into distribution hills, and the observatory can finally separate static from signal.
The lesson aligns overhead.
Sample spaces, branches, signals, and noisy gardens are not separate tricks. Together they form a patient way to reason when the world has not yet resolved.