sample space
three futures hesitate at the same threshold
Move through the chamber and watch the chance garden choose, unchoose, and remember the routes it nearly took.
P(A∣B) ∝ P(B∣A) · P(A)
Ω = {almost, now, never}
lim chance → story
pro-
bability.pro
every outcome begins as weather
0.030.50.97∑ω
(
)
rare does not mean impossible
a die contains a weather system
Not six faces, but six temporary agreements between noise and observation.
monte carlo rain
the field samples itself until a pattern becomes visible
P
belief updates in rings, not rows
∫ likelihood · prior = a softer answer
0.618
certainty is only the last frame
What keeps happening when nobody is watching?
if an outcome settles, where do the others sleep?