The Science of
Expectation

Where past predictions meet present reality. Exploring the beautiful history of what we thought would happen.

What We Expect

Active predictions tracked through our instruments, measured with care and presented with the precision of vintage probability science.

78%

Renewable Transition

Global renewable energy adoption will exceed 45% of total generation by 2030.

Tracked since 2022
62%

Urban Agriculture

Vertical farming will supply 15% of urban fresh produce in major cities.

Tracked since 2023
91%

AI Literacy

Over 80% of knowledge workers will use AI tools daily by 2028.

Tracked since 2024

What They Expected

Fascinating predictions from the past. Some prescient, some wildly optimistic, all beautifully human in their ambition.

1962
0100

Flying Cars by 1985

Popular Science predicted personal flying vehicles would be commonplace within two decades. Confidence at the time was remarkably high.

Prediction: Missed
1975
0100

Personal Computing Era

Xerox PARC researchers envisioned computers in every home with graphical interfaces. A prediction that proved remarkably accurate.

Prediction: Accurate
1999
0100

The Paperless Office

Business futurists declared physical documents would vanish by 2010. Reality proved far more complicated than the prediction suggested.

Prediction: Partial

How We Measure

Our toolkit for tracking and evaluating predictions, inspired by the beautiful measurement instruments of the past century.

Probability Radar

Multi-axis tracking of prediction confidence across different evidence dimensions.

Trend Oscilloscope

Visualizing prediction accuracy trends over time with vintage waveform analysis.

Timeline Clock

Counting down to prediction deadlines with a mechanical precision that honors the tradition.

CONF

Confidence Bell

Distribution curves showing how confidence in a prediction shifts as evidence accumulates.

Predictions Tracked Since 1958
0
0 Accurate
0 Pending
0 Expired

The Art of Prediction

Yesang is a research archive and living instrument for tracking humanity's expectations. From the optimistic promises of space-age futurists to the careful projections of modern climate scientists, prediction is deeply human.

We believe that studying what we expected reveals as much about who we are as studying what actually happened. Every prediction is a time capsule of hope, fear, knowledge, and ambition.

Our instruments are inspired by the beautiful measurement tools of the 20th century: the analog meter, the oscilloscope, the probability chart. We present data not as cold calculation, but as the warm, imperfect, deeply human practice it has always been.