REV. 확률

PROBABILITY
ENGINEERING

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An architectural exploration of probability theory — where each concept is a precisely drafted technical diagram rendered in blueprint-blue on white.

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01

SAMPLE SPACE

Ω — The Universal Set
Ω A B A ∩ B

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B)

The sample space Ω contains all possible outcomes. Events are subsets of this space, and their probabilities follow the axioms of measure.

02

DISTRIBUTIONS

Probability Mass Functions

P(X = k) = (n choose k) · p^k · (1−p)^(n−k)

Discrete probability distributions map each outcome to its likelihood. The binomial distribution counts successes in independent trials — each bar represents the probability of exactly k successes.

n = 8, p = 0.5
03

BAYES' THEOREM

Conditional Probability Engine
P(H) = 0.6 P(E|H) 0.75 P(¬E|H) 0.25 P(¬H) = 0.4 P(E|¬H) 0.30 P(¬E|¬H) 0.70 P(H|E)

P(H|E) = P(E|H) · P(H) / P(E)

Bayes' theorem inverts conditional probabilities — updating our belief in hypothesis H given evidence E. The tree diagram traces all paths through which evidence can arise.

04

CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM

Convergence to Normal

X̄ₙ → N(μ, σ²/n) as n → ∞

As sample size increases, the distribution of sample means converges to a normal distribution regardless of the population's shape. The bell curve emerges from chaos — order from randomness.

05

MARKOV CHAINS

State Transition Diagrams
S₀ S₁ S₂ 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 Transition Matrix [0.3 0.4 0.3] [0.5 0.0 0.5] [0.6 0.0 0.4]

P(Xₙ₊₁ = j | Xₙ = i) = pᵢⱼ

A Markov chain is a stochastic process where future states depend only on the present — the memoryless property. State transitions are governed by the probability matrix P.

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A 2026-03-15 Initial release — probability engineering blueprint 確率
hwakryul.com — 확률 — probability